Elgin City 1-0 Cove Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 6 Sep 2025

Elgin City
1-0 HT 1-0
Cove Rangers
📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Scotland - Challenge Cup – 2025/2026

Elgin City vs Cove Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.59
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elgin City v Cove Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 43%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
0.91/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-36% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -48%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
255 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 11.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Elgin City vs Cove Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Cove Rangers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
The Meetings
08.02.2020 Elgin City Elgin City 3-0 HT 2-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK2
28.12.2019 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
21.09.2019 Elgin City Elgin City 0-2 HT 0-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Cove Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City squeezed past Cove Rangers 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cove Rangers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cove Rangers led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Elgin City and 1.33 for Cove Rangers.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Cove Rangers?

Elgin City 1-0 Cove Rangers in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Cove Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cove Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 35%, draw 24%, Cove Rangers 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cove Rangers) ✗ BTTS Yes
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