Kelty Hearts 3-0 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 6 Sep 2025

Kelty Hearts
3-0 HT 0-0
Stranraer
📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Challenge Cup – 2025/2026

Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.24
2-3 Goals
45%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.23
6+ Goals
8%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kelty Hearts v Stranraer — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 30%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.84/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/2.93
+26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -51%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Stranraer
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
25.07.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-0 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İKLK
16.04.2022 Stranraer Stranraer 0-3 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
29.01.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 3-2 HT 2-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
18.12.2021 Stranraer Stranraer 0-4 HT 0-3 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
25.09.2021 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-0 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelty Hearts swept aside Stranraer 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kelty Hearts as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Kelty Hearts and 0.40 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?

Kelty Hearts 3-0 Stranraer in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 45%, draw 23%, Stranraer 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kelty Hearts) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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