East Kilbride 2-4 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.52
2-3 Goals
35%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.65
6+ Goals
14%
6.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.2pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Kilbride EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 43%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
2.59/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+97% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
158 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 184 · 93%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Kilbride
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Hamilton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Target 15
0 Corners 12
14.10.2023 East Kilbride East Kilbride 2-5 HT 1-4 Hamilton Hamilton İKCK
26.11.2022 Hamilton Hamilton 4-0 HT 1-0 East Kilbride East Kilbride İKK
15.07.2017 East Kilbride East Kilbride 1-3 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKLK
POST-MATCH East Kilbride vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton got the better of East Kilbride 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Hamilton made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hamilton led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for East Kilbride and 4.00 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of East Kilbride vs Hamilton?

East Kilbride 2-4 Hamilton in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Kilbride vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Kilbride win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split East Kilbride 40%, draw 23%, Hamilton 37%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (East Kilbride) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (East Kilbride) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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