Leiknir Reykjavik 2-0 UMF Selfoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.6pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY UMF Selfoss EU Bookmakers 37%
-16% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.73/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.83
-3% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
369 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY UMF Selfoss
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.06.2025 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 2-2 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
06.02.2025 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 5-5 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZLK
16.07.2023 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 2-4 HT 1-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
12.05.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 2-3 HT 1-1 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
19.04.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZK
17.02.2023 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 1-0 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZLK
POST-MATCH Leiknir Reykjavik vs UMF Selfoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiknir Reykjavik saw off UMF Selfoss 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Leiknir Reykjavik found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Leiknir Reykjavik and 2.17 for UMF Selfoss.

What was the final score of Leiknir Reykjavik vs UMF Selfoss?

Leiknir Reykjavik 2-0 UMF Selfoss in the Iceland - 1st Division on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiknir Reykjavik vs UMF Selfoss?

Before kick-off our model rated an UMF Selfoss win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leiknir Reykjavik 38%, draw 23%, UMF Selfoss 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UMF Selfoss) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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