Thor Akureyri 2-1 Fjölnir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.27
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
25%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-8.2pp
17%
Draw
15%
+2.0pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.0pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.09/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/2.72
-23% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
477 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fjölnir
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
27.06.2025 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-5 HT 0-2 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
18.08.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 1-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
15.06.2024 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-0 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
14.05.2024 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-2 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZK
10.03.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZLK
02.08.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs Fjölnir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri squeezed past Fjölnir 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Thor Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Thor Akureyri and 0.67 for Fjölnir.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Fjölnir?

Thor Akureyri 2-1 Fjölnir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Fjölnir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 66%, draw 17%, Fjölnir 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thor Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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