Drochtersen / Assel 4-0 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.4pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.65/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.60
-8% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drochtersen / Assel
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
12 Corners 2
23.03.2025 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-0 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
21.09.2024 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-1 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
04.05.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-2 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
05.11.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-2 HT 1-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
14.05.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-2 HT 1-1 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
06.11.2022 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-1 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Drochtersen / Assel vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel swept aside Phönix Lübeck 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Drochtersen / Assel as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drochtersen / Assel had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Drochtersen / Assel and 1.17 for Phönix Lübeck.

What was the final score of Drochtersen / Assel vs Phönix Lübeck?

Drochtersen / Assel 4-0 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drochtersen / Assel vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Drochtersen / Assel 45%, draw 26%, Phönix Lübeck 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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