Kingborough Lions 4-1 Clarence Zebras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.16
Draw
10%
7.78
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.85
No
40%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
3%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
82%
-1.8pp
10%
Draw
10%
-0.6pp
9%
Away Win
7%
+2.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
50%
+9.8pp
40%
BTTS No
50%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Clarence Zebras EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
3.78/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/3.82
+27% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -27%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kingborough Lions
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Clarence Zebras
4.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.07.2025 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 1-4 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
10.05.2025 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 0-4 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
09.08.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 3-0 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
15.06.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 4-3 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
06.04.2024 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 2-6 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
13.08.2023 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 2-5 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Kingborough Lions vs Clarence Zebras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kingborough Lions swept aside Clarence Zebras 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kingborough Lions as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kingborough Lions had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 4.33 goals for Kingborough Lions and 1.33 for Clarence Zebras.

What was the final score of Kingborough Lions vs Clarence Zebras?

Kingborough Lions 4-1 Clarence Zebras in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kingborough Lions vs Clarence Zebras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kingborough Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Kingborough Lions 81%, draw 10%, Clarence Zebras 9%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kingborough Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kingborough Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
6 Sep 2025
00:00 Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings Analysis →
00:00 NE MetroStars vs Adelaide United II Analysis →
07:30 Launceston United vs Glenorchy Knights Analysis →
07:30 Devonport City vs South Hobart Analysis →
07:30 Riverside Olympic vs Launceston City Analysis →
09:30 Perth RedStar FC vs Perth Glory II Analysis →