NE MetroStars 2-1 Adelaide United II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.57
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
17%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.59
Over 2.5
68%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.27
2-3 Goals
36%
1.95
4-5 Goals
29%
2.49
6+ Goals
19%
5.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
2%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
59%
+7.3pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.2pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-3.1pp
32%
Under 2.5
35%
-3.1pp
68%
Over 2.5
65%
+3.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 24%
-13% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +29%
2.52/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/2.39
+8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NE MetroStars
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Adelaide United II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
30.08.2025 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 0-1 HT 0-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
28.06.2025 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 1-1 HT 1-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
04.04.2025 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 3-3 HT 2-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
22.06.2024 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 5-1 HT 3-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
28.03.2024 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 0-4 HT 0-2 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVSA
01.07.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-2 HT 1-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVSA
POST-MATCH NE MetroStars vs Adelaide United II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NE MetroStars edged past Adelaide United II 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had NE MetroStars as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for NE MetroStars and 1.00 for Adelaide United II.

What was the final score of NE MetroStars vs Adelaide United II?

NE MetroStars 2-1 Adelaide United II in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NE MetroStars vs Adelaide United II?

Before kick-off our model rated a NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split NE MetroStars 66%, draw 17%, Adelaide United II 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NE MetroStars), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
6 Sep 2025
00:00 Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings Analysis →
07:30 Launceston United vs Glenorchy Knights Analysis →
07:30 Kingborough Lions vs Clarence Zebras Analysis →
07:30 Devonport City vs South Hobart Analysis →
07:30 Riverside Olympic vs Launceston City Analysis →
09:30 Perth RedStar FC vs Perth Glory II Analysis →