NE MetroStars 1-1 Adelaide United II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-12.6pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+11.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.6pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 22%
-13% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +31%
2.66/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/2.26
+16% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NE MetroStars
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Adelaide United II
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.04.2025 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 3-3 HT 2-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
22.06.2024 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 5-1 HT 3-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
28.03.2024 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 0-4 HT 0-2 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVSA
01.07.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-2 HT 1-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVSA
08.04.2023 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 1-2 HT 0-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
20.08.2022 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-1 HT 1-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
POST-MATCH NE MetroStars vs Adelaide United II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NE MetroStars and Adelaide United II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was NE MetroStars at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for NE MetroStars and 1.33 for Adelaide United II.

What was the final score of NE MetroStars vs Adelaide United II?

NE MetroStars 1-1 Adelaide United II in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NE MetroStars vs Adelaide United II?

Before kick-off our model rated a NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split NE MetroStars 50%, draw 20%, Adelaide United II 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NE MetroStars), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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