Adelaide United II 3-3 NE MetroStars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
40%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
16%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+7.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-8.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.9pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 54%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +24%
1.88/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.56
+23% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +146%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United II
2W-0D-4L
AWAY NE MetroStars
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 5-1 HT 3-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
28.03.2024 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 0-4 HT 0-2 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVSA
01.07.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-2 HT 1-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVSA
08.04.2023 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 1-2 HT 0-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
20.08.2022 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-1 HT 1-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
23.07.2022 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-3 HT 1-2 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide United II vs NE MetroStars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United II and NE MetroStars couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Adelaide United II and 2.67 for NE MetroStars.

What was the final score of Adelaide United II vs NE MetroStars?

Adelaide United II 3-3 NE MetroStars in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United II vs NE MetroStars?

Before kick-off our model rated an NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United II 36%, draw 24%, NE MetroStars 41%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NE MetroStars) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
4 Apr 2025
11:30 St. George Saints vs Central Coast II Analysis →
11:30 Heidelberg United vs Green Gully Analysis →
11:30 Melbourne Knights vs Preston Lions Analysis →
11:45 Monaro Panthers vs Cooma Tigers Analysis →
11:45 Dandenong City vs Avondale Heights Analysis →
12:00 Campbelltown City vs Adelaide Comets Analysis →