Ryukyu 3-2 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.16/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/2.75
-10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -57%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.8 Crosses 30.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
1W-2D-3L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
176 Passes 322
64% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.02.2025 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
14.09.2022 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
16.04.2022 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-1 HT 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
18.09.2021 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-1 HT 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
14.03.2021 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-2 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
14.10.2020 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-1 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
3-2
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 23
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
300 Passes 327
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu nicked a narrow win over ThespaKusatsu Gunma 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Ryukyu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ryukyu had 47% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 53%, shots finished 20-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ThespaKusatsu Gunma led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ryukyu and 0.50 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Ryukyu 3-2 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J3 League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated an ThespaKusatsu Gunma win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 37%, draw 22%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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