Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-3 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.52/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/0.19
+17% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.7 Crosses 15.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tochigi SC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
376 Passes 261
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2025 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-2 HT 1-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2-3
AWAY Tochigi SC
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
247 Passes 340
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi SC nicked a narrow win over Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Tochigi SC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 44% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 56%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi SC?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-3 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J3 League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tegevajaro Miyazaki win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 36%, draw 31%, Tochigi SC 32%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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