Sagamihara 2-1 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
0.97/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.42
-32% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.3 Crosses 15.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
351 Passes 303
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2025 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
31.08.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-1 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
09.03.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-1 HT 1-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
29.07.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
15.04.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
16.10.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 3-1 HT 2-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
2-1
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
287 Passes 299
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara squeezed past Parceiro Nagano 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sagamihara as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sagamihara had 49% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 51%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sagamihara and 1.33 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano?

Sagamihara 2-1 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 48%, draw 26%, Parceiro Nagano 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagamihara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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