Sagamihara 1-1 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.07/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.50
-27% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
405 Passes 217
77% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-1 HT 1-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
29.07.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
15.04.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
16.10.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 3-1 HT 2-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
02.07.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-2 HT 0-2 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
03.10.2020 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
1-1
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
298 Passes 383
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara and Parceiro Nagano shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sagamihara at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sagamihara had 45% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 55%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sagamihara and 1.33 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano?

Sagamihara 1-1 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 43%, draw 26%, Parceiro Nagano 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sagamihara), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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