Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-2 Vanraure Hachinohe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.4pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.1pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanraure Hachinohe EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.16/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.35
-1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vanraure Hachinohe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.06.2024 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe 0-0 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
12.11.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-4 HT 1-1 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe JAP3
04.06.2023 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe 0-0 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
03.09.2022 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe 1-2 HT 1-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
13.03.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-0 HT 1-0 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe JAP3
04.09.2021 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe 0-1 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3-2
AWAY Vanraure Hachinohe
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
215 Passes 277
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Vanraure Hachinohe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki squeezed past Vanraure Hachinohe 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vanraure Hachinohe at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 45% of the ball to Vanraure Hachinohe's 55%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 0.83 for Vanraure Hachinohe.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Vanraure Hachinohe?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-2 Vanraure Hachinohe in the Japan - J3 League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Vanraure Hachinohe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vanraure Hachinohe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 34%, draw 24%, Vanraure Hachinohe 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vanraure Hachinohe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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