Kataller Toyama 5-1 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +3%
1.54/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.72
+7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.06.2024 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
15.10.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-2 HT 1-1 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
12.03.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 HT 1-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
17.09.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
19.06.2022 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-0 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
05.09.2021 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 HT 2-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
5-1
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
36% Ball Possession 64%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
255 Passes 475
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama cruised past Azul Claro Numazu 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kataller Toyama as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 36% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 64%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Azul Claro Numazu led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kataller Toyama and 1.33 for Azul Claro Numazu.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Kataller Toyama 5-1 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 47%, draw 25%, Azul Claro Numazu 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kataller Toyama) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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