Ryukyu 3-1 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.10/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.50
-25% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-1 HT 2-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
19.11.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 3-2 HT 2-2 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
03.05.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-3 HT 1-3 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
3-1
AWAY Gainare Tottori
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
303 Passes 292
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu beat Gainare Tottori 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ryukyu as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ryukyu had 49% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 51%, shots finished 18-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gainare Tottori led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ryukyu and 2.67 for Gainare Tottori.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori?

Ryukyu 3-1 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ryukyu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 43%, draw 25%, Gainare Tottori 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ryukyu), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ryukyu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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