Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.27/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.08
+5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses 25.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sagamihara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
300 Passes 352
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-1 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
09.03.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-1 HT 1-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
29.07.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
15.04.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
16.10.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 3-1 HT 2-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
02.07.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-2 HT 0-2 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
1-1
AWAY Sagamihara
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
308 Passes 349
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano and Sagamihara couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 47% of the ball to Sagamihara's 53%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 0.67 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Sagamihara?

Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 34%, draw 29%, Sagamihara 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sagamihara), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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