Tlaxcala 2-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.9pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.59/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.14
-3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
22.03.2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-3 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
06.10.2024 Tlaxcala 2-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
20.03.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
17.09.2023 Tlaxcala 2-1 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
02.02.2023 Tlaxcala 3-1 HT 2-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
25.09.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tlaxcala edged past Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tlaxcala as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tlaxcala had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tlaxcala and 1.50 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Tlaxcala 2-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tlaxcala win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 49%, draw 23%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tlaxcala), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tlaxcala) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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