Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional Asuncion v Deportivo Recoleta — Team-Based Signals
Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Nacional Asuncion 1-0 Deportivo Recoleta — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional Asuncion squeezed past Deportivo Recoleta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional Asuncion as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 62% of the ball to Deportivo Recoleta's 38%, shots finished 16-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Recoleta led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 1.00 for Deportivo Recoleta.
What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Nacional Asuncion 1-0 Deportivo Recoleta in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 46%, draw 28%, Deportivo Recoleta 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Asuncion), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.