Sportivo Luqueno 2-3 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
49%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
0.98/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.78
-8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
24.03.2025 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
04.12.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PARK
29.10.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-2 HT 2-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
17.08.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
26.05.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2-3
AWAY Club Guarani
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Luqueno 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Guarani as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 42% of the ball to Club Guarani's 58%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.00 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani?

Sportivo Luqueno 2-3 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 27%, draw 24%, Club Guarani 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Guarani), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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