Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +15%
0.99/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.83
-14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +44%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
171 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
Crosses 9.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.71 xG 0.34
44% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
223 Passes 230
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.12.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PARK
29.10.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-2 HT 2-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
17.08.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
26.05.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
11.03.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
07.03.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
0-1
AWAY Club Guarani
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Club Guarani made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 50% of the ball to Club Guarani's 50%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Luqueno had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 0.50 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani?

Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Luqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 37%, draw 26%, Club Guarani 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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