Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.45
Over 2.5
47%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
65%
-12.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
35%
+12.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 37%
-16% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +15%
0.91/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.82
-24% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +49%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
Crosses 9.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.71 xG 0.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
223 Passes 230
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
11.03.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
07.03.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno CON CSA
25.09.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-1 HT 2-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
09.07.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-2 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
07.05.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 3-0 HT 1-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2-1
AWAY Club Guarani
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno squeezed past Club Guarani 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Sportivo Luqueno found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 42% of the ball to Club Guarani's 58%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Luqueno had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 0.67 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani?

Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 33%, draw 28%, Club Guarani 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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