Club Guarani 2-1 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.21/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.22
+3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2025 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
04.12.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PARK
29.10.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-2 HT 2-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
17.08.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
26.05.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
11.03.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
2-1
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani squeezed past Sportivo Luqueno 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Club Guarani found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Guarani had 45% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 55%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Luqueno led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Club Guarani and 1.00 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Club Guarani 2-1 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 38%, draw 27%, Sportivo Luqueno 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Guarani) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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