Cerro Porteno 1-1 2 de Mayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.3pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY 2 de Mayo EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.76/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.41
-3% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
34.0 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
1W-2D-2L
AWAY 2 de Mayo
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2025 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 1-1 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
30.09.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-3 HT 0-2 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
30.07.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
20.04.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 0-2 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
30.01.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-3 HT 0-0 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
1-1
AWAY 2 de Mayo
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno and 2 de Mayo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 61% of the ball to 2 de Mayo's 39%, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, 2 de Mayo led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.60 for 2 de Mayo.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo?

Cerro Porteno 1-1 2 de Mayo in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 52%, draw 28%, 2 de Mayo 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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