Cerro Porteno 0-3 2 de Mayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY 2 de Mayo EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.22/0.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.33
+6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 70%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
34.0 Crosses 18.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
1W-1D-1L
AWAY 2 de Mayo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.07.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
20.04.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 0-2 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
30.01.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-3 HT 0-0 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
0-3
AWAY 2 de Mayo
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

2 de Mayo cruised past Cerro Porteno 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 62% of the ball to 2 de Mayo's 38%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.33 for 2 de Mayo.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo?

Cerro Porteno 0-3 2 de Mayo in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 49%, draw 27%, 2 de Mayo 23%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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