Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional Asuncion v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Libertad
PAR
2-0
HT 1-0
Nacional Asuncion
PAR
2-1
HT 2-0
Nacional Asuncion
PAR
Nacional Asuncion 2-1 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional Asuncion edged past Libertad 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Nacional Asuncion made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 47% of the ball to Libertad's 53%, shots finished 13-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 2.33 for Libertad.
What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad?
Nacional Asuncion 2-1 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 39%, draw 29%, Libertad 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.