2 de Mayo 1-1 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 2 de Mayo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
0.84/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.08
-20% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
245 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 2 de Mayo
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-3 HT 0-2 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
30.07.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
20.04.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 0-2 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
30.01.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-3 HT 0-0 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 2 de Mayo
1-1
AWAY Cerro Porteno
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH 2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

2 de Mayo and Cerro Porteno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, 2 de Mayo had 45% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 55%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, 2 de Mayo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for 2 de Mayo and 0.75 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of 2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno?

2 de Mayo 1-1 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split 2 de Mayo 29%, draw 27%, Cerro Porteno 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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