Club Olimpia 0-1 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.62
Over 2.5
34%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
58%
+7.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
42%
-7.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.0pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -19%
1.55/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.23
+13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Olimpia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
13.09.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-0 HT 2-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
22.04.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
28.01.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-2 HT 2-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
08.10.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
24.07.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-2 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Olimpia
0-1
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Club Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion squeezed past Club Olimpia 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Club Olimpia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Club Olimpia had 64% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 36%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Club Olimpia and 1.33 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of Club Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion?

Club Olimpia 0-1 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Club Olimpia 43%, draw 30%, Nacional Asuncion 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Club Olimpia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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