Club Olimpia 1-1 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.59
Over 2.5
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+10.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.8pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 23%
-11% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +4%
1.74/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.16
+10% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Olimpia
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-0 HT 2-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
22.04.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
28.01.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-2 HT 2-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
08.10.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
24.07.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-2 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
16.04.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Olimpia
1-1
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Club Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Olimpia and Nacional Asuncion couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Club Olimpia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Club Olimpia had 60% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 40%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Club Olimpia and 1.33 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of Club Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion?

Club Olimpia 1-1 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Club Olimpia 44%, draw 25%, Nacional Asuncion 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club Olimpia)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PAR More Paraguay - Profesyonel League
25 Nov 2024
02:30 Club Guarani vs Tacuary Analysis →