Guangzhou E-Power 1-1 Haimen Codion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.1
Over 2.5
41%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
31%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+14.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-14.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.9pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangzhou E-Power EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Haimen Codion EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.76/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.40
-40% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -54%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.6
18.5 Crosses 18.3
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangzhou E-Power
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Haimen Codion
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 1.59
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 1
300 Passes 264
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Haimen Codion Haimen Codion 1-3 HT 0-2 Guangzhou E-Power Guangzhou E-Power ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangzhou E-Power
1-1
AWAY Haimen Codion
1.12 xG 0.32
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
353 Passes 217
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 7
34 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Guangzhou E-Power vs Haimen Codion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangzhou E-Power and Haimen Codion shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Guangzhou E-Power at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Guangzhou E-Power had 61% of the ball to Haimen Codion's 39%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.12 to 0.32.

What was the final score of Guangzhou E-Power vs Haimen Codion?

Guangzhou E-Power 1-1 Haimen Codion in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangzhou E-Power vs Haimen Codion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangzhou E-Power win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Guangzhou E-Power 56%, draw 25%, Haimen Codion 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guangzhou E-Power), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangzhou E-Power) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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