Yunnan Yukun 2-0 Shanghai Jiading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.16
Draw
23%
6.26
Away
10%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.59
Over 2.5
49%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
5.72
2-3 Goals
37%
2.03
4-5 Goals
23%
2.62
6+ Goals
12%
6.11
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.72 — our 28% vs market 13.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
29%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
82%
-14.1pp
23%
Draw
13%
+9.7pp
10%
Away Win
6%
+4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 8%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.74/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.05
+30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +35%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
394 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 74%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
27.3 Crosses 12.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunnan Yukun
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
374 Passes 217
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
25.05.2024 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 1-2 HT 0-1 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
2-0
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
1.96 xG 0.31
66% Ball Possession 34%
31 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
18 Corners 0
322 Passes 150
82% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Box Touches 1
47 Crosses 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Jiading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun got the better of Shanghai Jiading 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 66% of the ball to Shanghai Jiading's 34%, shots finished 31-4, expected goals 1.96 to 0.31.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Jiading?

Yunnan Yukun 2-0 Shanghai Jiading in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Jiading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 67%, draw 23%, Shanghai Jiading 10%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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