Jiangxi Beidamen 0-1 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.35
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 31% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jiangxi Beidamen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.15/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.21
+14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
14.7 Crosses 15.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jiangxi Beidamen
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Yanbian Longding
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.75 xG 1.25
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
227 Passes 363
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-1 HT 1-1 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
26.08.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-1 HT 0-1 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
13.05.2023 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 0-2 HT 0-1 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Jiangxi Beidamen vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding edged past Jiangxi Beidamen 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Yanbian Longding found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Yanbian Longding led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jiangxi Beidamen and 1.67 for Yanbian Longding.

What was the final score of Jiangxi Beidamen vs Yanbian Longding?

Jiangxi Beidamen 0-1 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jiangxi Beidamen vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jiangxi Beidamen 32%, draw 31%, Yanbian Longding 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yanbian Longding), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yanbian Longding) ✓ Under 2.5
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