Chongqing Tongliang Long 3-0 Dalian Zhixing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.93
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.5pp
36%
Draw
29%
+6.8pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-3.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 31%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.09/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.68
+8% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
23.0 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.92 xG 1.18
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
285 Passes 192
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 2-2 HT 0-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
3-0
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
1.58 xG 0.27
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
219 Passes 433
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long swept aside Dalian Zhixing 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 36% / 24% — and on the day Chongqing Tongliang Long made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 38% of the ball to Dalian Zhixing's 62%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.58 to 0.27.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 3-0 Dalian Zhixing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 40%, draw 36%, Dalian Zhixing 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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