Team TG FF 4-0 Bodens BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.21
Over Pick
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
34%
4-5
32%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+5.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-3.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Team TG FF EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodens BK EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.38/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.41
-24% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Team TG FF
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Bodens BK
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
15.06.2024 Bodens BK Bodens BK 1-0 HT 0-0 Team TG FF Team TG FF İSÇ4
14.08.2021 Team TG FF Team TG FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Bodens BK Bodens BK İSÇ4
11.07.2021 Bodens BK Bodens BK 1-2 HT 1-1 Team TG FF Team TG FF İSÇ4
26.08.2020 Bodens BK Bodens BK 1-1 HT 1-1 Team TG FF Team TG FF İSÇK
POST-MATCH Team TG FF vs Bodens BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Team TG FF ran out comfortable winners over Bodens BK 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Team TG FF as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Team TG FF and 0.75 for Bodens BK.

What was the final score of Team TG FF vs Bodens BK?

Team TG FF 4-0 Bodens BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Team TG FF vs Bodens BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Team TG FF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Team TG FF 48%, draw 23%, Bodens BK 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Team TG FF), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Team TG FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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