Djurgarden 1-1 Kalmar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 6 Oct 2024

Djurgarden
1-1 HT 0-1
Kalmar
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Djurgarden vs Kalmar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 28% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.86
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.2
X/1
20%
3.64
X/2
10%
12.2
X/X
12%
5.85
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
10%
9.73
2/X
8%
18.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-12.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Djurgarden v Kalmar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalmar EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.68/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.69
-10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
24.2 Crosses 14.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Djurgarden vs Kalmar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kalmar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 0.99
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 Passes 509
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.07.2024 Kalmar Kalmar 2-1 HT 1-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
12.11.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 2-1 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
08.05.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-1 HT 2-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
14.08.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-2 HT 2-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
22.05.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 1-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
12.03.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 0-2 HT 0-2 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇK

Djurgarden 1-1 Kalmar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
1-1
AWAY Kalmar
0.95 xG 1.28
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
542 Passes 306
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs Kalmar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden and Kalmar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Djurgarden at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Djurgarden had 62% of the ball to Kalmar's 38%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.95 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Djurgarden and 1.33 for Kalmar.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Kalmar?

Djurgarden 1-1 Kalmar in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Kalmar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 50%, draw 25%, Kalmar 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Djurgarden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
6 Oct 2024
15:00 AIK vs Hacken Analysis →
17:30 Malmö FF vs IFK Varnamo Analysis →
17:30 IK Sirius vs Elfsborg Analysis →
17:30 Norrköping vs Göteborg Analysis →