IK Sirius 4-1 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 6 Oct 2024

IK Sirius
4-1 HT 1-1
Elfsborg
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

IK Sirius vs Elfsborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
15%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.93
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
15%
6.32
X/2
11%
5.36
X/X
11%
5.45
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
22%
3.12
2/X
5%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Sirius v Elfsborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 45%
-14% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.65/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.24
-9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
422 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
22.2 Crosses 19.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

IK Sirius vs Elfsborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Elfsborg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.91 xG 1.36
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
466 Passes 273
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.04.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
06.08.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-0 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
08.05.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-4 HT 2-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
18.09.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-0 HT 2-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
14.05.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-0 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
24.10.2021 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-0 HT 3-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ

IK Sirius 4-1 Elfsborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
4-1
AWAY Elfsborg
2.26 xG 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
440 Passes 385
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius swept aside Elfsborg 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; IK Sirius found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, IK Sirius had 52% of the ball to Elfsborg's 48%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.26 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for IK Sirius and 2.17 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Elfsborg?

IK Sirius 4-1 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 36%, draw 25%, Elfsborg 39%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elfsborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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