Sestao River 2-2 Barcelona II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
1.52
Over
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No Pick
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.29
2-3
38%
1.79
4-5
18%
5.33
6+
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.2pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona II EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.39/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.34
+12% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestao River
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Barcelona II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Barcelona II Barcelona II 2-1 HT 2-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
22.10.2023 Sestao River Sestao River 1-3 HT 0-1 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestao River
2-2
AWAY Barcelona II
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Barcelona II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestao River and Barcelona II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sestao River had 46% of the ball to Barcelona II's 54%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barcelona II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sestao River and 2.50 for Barcelona II.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Barcelona II?

Sestao River 2-2 Barcelona II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Barcelona II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 38%, draw 24%, Barcelona II 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
6 Oct 2024
00:00 Hercules vs Antequera Analysis →
13:00 FC Andorra vs Real Union Analysis →
13:00 Real Sociedad II vs Osasuna II Analysis →
13:00 Atletico Madrid II vs Ceuta Analysis →
13:00 Real Murcia vs Alcorcon Analysis →
16:30 Gimnastica Segoviana vs Zamora CF Analysis →