Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-3 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.51
Over
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
41%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.36/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.07
+22% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Aviles
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
28.01.2024 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
16.09.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
12.02.2023 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
24.09.2022 Real Aviles Real Aviles 3-0 HT 1-0 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega
1-3
AWAY Real Aviles
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles beat Gimnastica Torrelavega 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Real Aviles found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnastica Torrelavega had 56% of the ball to Real Aviles's 44%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Gimnastica Torrelavega and 1.25 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Real Aviles?

Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-3 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastica Torrelavega win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gimnastica Torrelavega 38%, draw 30%, Real Aviles 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastica Torrelavega) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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