Navalcarnero vs Illescas Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Navalcarnero v Illescas — Team-Based Signals
Navalcarnero vs Illescas Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Illescas
İS4
Navalcarnero 1-1 Illescas — Actual Match Statistics
Navalcarnero and Illescas shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Navalcarnero at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Navalcarnero had 59% of the ball to Illescas's 41%, shots finished 17-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Illescas led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Navalcarnero and 2.00 for Illescas.
What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs Illescas?
Navalcarnero 1-1 Illescas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs Illescas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 41%, draw 29%, Illescas 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Navalcarnero), BTTS No went the other way.