Illescas vs Navalcarnero Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Illescas v Navalcarnero — Team-Based Signals
Illescas vs Navalcarnero Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Illescas
İS4
Illescas 2-0 Navalcarnero — Actual Match Statistics
Illescas beat Navalcarnero 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Illescas found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Illescas had 44% of the ball to Navalcarnero's 56%, shots finished 12-10.
What was the final score of Illescas vs Navalcarnero?
Illescas 2-0 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Illescas vs Navalcarnero?
Before kick-off our model rated a Illescas win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Illescas 37%, draw 32%, Navalcarnero 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Illescas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.