Pontevedra 0-1 Marino De Luanco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.59
Over
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No Pick
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.1pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
2.29/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.96
+34% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +82%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
182 · 55% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Marino De Luanco
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 Pontevedra Pontevedra 2-1 HT 2-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
12.11.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-2 HT 0-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
27.02.2022 Pontevedra Pontevedra 0-0 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
10.10.2021 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-3 HT 0-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
17.11.2019 Pontevedra Pontevedra 3-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS3
03.12.2015 Pontevedra Pontevedra 1-0 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İSPFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
0-1
AWAY Marino De Luanco
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Marino De Luanco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marino De Luanco edged past Pontevedra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pontevedra at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pontevedra had 72% of the ball to Marino De Luanco's 28%, shots finished 16-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pontevedra had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Pontevedra and 0.33 for Marino De Luanco.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Marino De Luanco?

Pontevedra 0-1 Marino De Luanco in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Marino De Luanco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 53%, draw 25%, Marino De Luanco 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pontevedra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
6 Oct 2024
12:30 Getafe II vs Conquense Analysis →
12:30 Melilla vs Union Adarve Analysis →
13:00 Zaragoza II vs Eibar II Analysis →
13:00 CD Coria vs Tenerife II Analysis →
13:00 Colonia Moscardo vs Union Sur Yaiza Analysis →
13:00 Mostoles vs Rayo Majadahonda Analysis →