Pontevedra 2-1 Marino De Luanco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.25
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.75
Over
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.75
No
58%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
47%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Pontevedra win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
76%
-15.0pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.7pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+9.5pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.67/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.31
+36% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Marino De Luanco
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-2 HT 0-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
27.02.2022 Pontevedra Pontevedra 0-0 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
10.10.2021 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-3 HT 0-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
17.11.2019 Pontevedra Pontevedra 3-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS3
03.12.2015 Pontevedra Pontevedra 1-0 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İSPFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
2-1
AWAY Marino De Luanco
72% Ball Possession 28%
31 Total Shots 3
12 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Marino De Luanco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra nicked a narrow win over Marino De Luanco 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pontevedra as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pontevedra had 72% of the ball to Marino De Luanco's 28%, shots finished 31-3.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pontevedra had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Pontevedra and 0.20 for Marino De Luanco.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Marino De Luanco?

Pontevedra 2-1 Marino De Luanco in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Marino De Luanco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 61%, draw 22%, Marino De Luanco 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontevedra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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