Augsburg II 0-3 Aubstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsburg II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
2.52/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.12
+28% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +52%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Augsburg II
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Aubstadt
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
22.09.2023 Augsburg II Augsburg II 5-0 HT 5-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
10.04.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
16.09.2022 Augsburg II Augsburg II 2-2 HT 1-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
20.04.2022 Augsburg II Augsburg II 2-2 HT 1-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
04.09.2021 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-1 HT 0-1 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Augsburg II vs Aubstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubstadt swept aside Augsburg II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Augsburg II carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Augsburg II had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Augsburg II and 1.17 for Aubstadt.

What was the final score of Augsburg II vs Aubstadt?

Augsburg II 0-3 Aubstadt in the Germany - Regional League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsburg II vs Aubstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Augsburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Augsburg II 55%, draw 21%, Aubstadt 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Augsburg II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Augsburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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