Samtredia 2-1 Torpedo Kutaisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.6pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
44%
Away Win
53%
-8.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samtredia EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 57%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.33/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.52
+22% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +114%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samtredia
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.08.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 HT 1-1 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
20.04.2024 Samtredia Samtredia 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
02.03.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 4-1 HT 3-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
21.10.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-0 HT 1-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
14.08.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 2-3 HT 1-2 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
06.05.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 1-0 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samtredia
2-1
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Samtredia vs Torpedo Kutaisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samtredia edged past Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Kutaisi at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Samtredia had 45% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 55%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Samtredia and 2.00 for Torpedo Kutaisi.

What was the final score of Samtredia vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Samtredia 2-1 Torpedo Kutaisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samtredia vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Samtredia 27%, draw 29%, Torpedo Kutaisi 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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