Gagra 0-5 Dila Gori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.4
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
59%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
59%
Away Win
62%
-3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.91/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.00
-14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
271 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Dila Gori
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
21.04.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-1 HT 0-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
03.03.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 2-0 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
24.11.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
16.09.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
24.05.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
0-5
AWAY Dila Gori
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Dila Gori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dila Gori cruised past Gagra 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dila Gori as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Gagra had 47% of the ball to Dila Gori's 53%, shots finished 5-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dila Gori led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Gagra and 0.83 for Dila Gori.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Dila Gori?

Gagra 0-5 Dila Gori in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Dila Gori?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Gagra 18%, draw 23%, Dila Gori 59%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dila Gori), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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