Libertad 0-2 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.26/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.34
-6% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
07.04.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 2-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
22.01.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
02.10.2023 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
17.07.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-3 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
14.04.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
0-2
AWAY Club Guarani
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani got the better of Libertad 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Libertad had 51% of the ball to Club Guarani's 49%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Libertad and 0.33 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Club Guarani?

Libertad 0-2 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Libertad 44%, draw 27%, Club Guarani 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Libertad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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