Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-10.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 62%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.21/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.76
+57% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
208 · 61% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 26.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4-0 HT 3-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
02.06.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-2 HT 0-2 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
16.03.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
04.11.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
21.08.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
18.05.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
1-0
AWAY Cerro Porteno
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno edged past Cerro Porteno 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 29% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 71%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.67 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno?

Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 22%, draw 29%, Cerro Porteno 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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