Farense vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Farense v Estoril — Team-Based Signals
Farense vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Farense
POR
0-2
HT 0-1
Estoril
POR2
1-2
HT 1-1
Farense
POR2
0-2
HT 0-1
Estoril
PORLC
1-0
HT 0-0
Estoril
POK
Farense 1-0 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics
Farense edged past Estoril 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Farense as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Farense had 44% of the ball to Estoril's 56%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.59 to 1.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Farense and 1.83 for Estoril.
What was the final score of Farense vs Estoril?
Farense 1-0 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Farense vs Estoril?
Before kick-off our model rated a Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Farense 43%, draw 25%, Estoril 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.