Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vancouver Whitecaps v San Jose Earthquakes — Team-Based Signals
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
2-1
HT 0-1
Vancouver Whitecaps
ABD
2-0
HT 2-0
Vancouver Whitecaps
ABD
Vancouver Whitecaps 4-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Actual Match Statistics
Vancouver Whitecaps ran out comfortable winners over San Jose Earthquakes 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vancouver Whitecaps as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 61% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 39%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.49 to 0.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Jose Earthquakes led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.17 for San Jose Earthquakes.
What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Vancouver Whitecaps 4-1 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 06/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 65%, draw 18%, San Jose Earthquakes 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.